SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $23.44 ↑ 5.0% 37th %ile (neutral) • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — 32,000 to 32,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 37th in 90d range | Regime: neutral

Why it matters

Volatility at 27th percentile signals low fear, yet Kalshi shows 4.0% odds on a narrow 2026 Nasdaq range.

Sources

futures